Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 18.311222 22.106591 26.313335 31.297073 37.014241 43.341536 50.846511
2025-05-11 12.902923 17.874367 23.982479 31.927255 41.866375 53.763478 68.942520
2025-05-18 9.593993 14.861192 21.882329 31.686099 44.753131 61.285107 83.458354
2025-05-25 7.181579 12.331569 19.720131 30.695175 46.128681 66.566223 95.103451
2025-06-01 5.648456 10.661862 18.346158 30.393777 48.125800 72.515808 107.710200
2025-06-08 4.305125 8.956378 16.576278 29.171451 48.535297 76.135116 117.187838
2025-06-15 3.674877 8.294241 16.287240 30.070702 51.998807 84.123974 133.023916
2025-06-22 2.884046 7.147984 14.994833 29.171838 52.574449 87.875856 142.929588
2025-06-29 2.521800 6.745274 14.909967 30.208571 56.189134 96.255790 159.886693
2025-07-06 1.899354 5.634674 13.344914 28.493586 55.169711 97.473245 166.197580
2025-07-13 1.681382 5.372324 13.349968 29.543360 58.767005 105.981762 183.843036
2025-07-20 1.477872 5.091188 13.267917 30.403963 62.070511 114.152326 201.271301
2025-07-27 1.279178 4.802823 13.198348 31.423271 65.981239 123.919604 222.319889
2025-08-03 1.076955 4.446617 12.935233 32.062595 69.321163 133.037813 242.951155
2025-08-10 0.860191 3.962698 12.284048 31.820976 71.004352 139.451875 259.498265
2025-08-17 0.651872 3.408320 11.341521 30.826664 71.156867 143.222363 271.846051
2025-08-24 0.515048 3.033126 10.761971 30.524227 72.573491 149.200568 288.037924
2025-08-31 0.377184 2.569952 9.834870 29.297662 72.034677 151.657480 298.367289
2025-09-07 0.324984 2.443729 9.824672 30.200035 75.842486 162.066571 322.610451
2025-09-14 0.240938 2.106587 9.108338 29.298050 75.837246 165.505537 334.945060
2025-09-21 0.210151 2.026647 9.171859 30.338381 79.988959 176.799871 361.367232
2025-09-28 0.142058 1.663830 8.212699 28.617431 78.049665 176.560030 367.419608
2025-10-05 0.124064 1.609308 8.298849 29.670864 82.270212 188.206862 395.055465